Fermana vs Real Giulianova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
35.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
SOR
0 - 0
FER
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 1
FER
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
FER
0 - 1
USF
15%
22%
63%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
BEN
0 - 0
FER
53%
27%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
FER
2 - 1
PAT
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Giulianova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
GIU
0 - 0
BEN
50%
27%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 1
GIU
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
GIU
1 - 0
TER
30%
26%
44%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
VIS
1 - 0
GIU
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
GIU
3 - 0
MAR
37%
27%
37%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |