Fermana vs Real Giulianova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 1
FER
55%
25%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
PES
3 - 1
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
FER
0 - 2
TER
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
AVE
2 - 1
FER
58%
24%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
FER
0 - 2
TAR
42%
28%
31%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Real Giulianova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
GIU
1 - 1
CHI
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
VIR
0 - 0
GIU
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
AVE
1 - 0
GIU
56%
25%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
GIU
0 - 1
VIS
48%
27%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
GIU
1 - 1
SOR
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |