Fermana vs Feralpisalò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
47.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
VIR
0 - 1
FER
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
SSS
2 - 0
FER
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
FER
0 - 1
ASS
37%
29%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
IMO
0 - 0
FER
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
FER
1 - 0
TRI
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
FER
0 - 0
ASS
49%
27%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
POR
2 - 2
FER
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
FER
0 - 0
REN
63%
22%
16%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
TRI
2 - 0
FER
40%
28%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
FER
0 - 1
IMO
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |