Fermana vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
10%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
48.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
SSS
0 - 1
FER
66%
21%
13%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
PIA
17%
23%
60%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
RAV
1 - 0
FER
51%
26%
23%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
FER
70%
19%
10%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
FER
0 - 0
VIC
15%
26%
59%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
FCS
5 - 0
UAR
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2020 |
REG
1 - 0
FCS
48%
27%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
FCS
2 - 0
VIS
65%
22%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
FCS
4 - 1
RIM
79%
15%
6%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
FCS
63%
23%
14%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |