Fermana vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
44.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FER
0 - 2
RAV
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
REN
0 - 1
FER
46%
28%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
FER
1 - 0
GER
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
FER
0 - 0
FER
67%
20%
14%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FER
2 - 0
VIR
50%
26%
25%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FCS
0 - 0
ABN
51%
28%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
VIR
3 - 2
FCS
19%
29%
52%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
FCS
0 - 0
FAN
56%
26%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
RAV
0 - 1
FCS
31%
30%
40%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
FCS
1 - 0
TER
55%
26%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +2 |