Fermana vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
EMP
1 - 0
FER
83%
13%
4%
|
43 | 73 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
NAP
2 - 0
FER
80%
15%
5%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
FER
1 - 3
NAP
12%
20%
68%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
FER
2 - 5
SAL
7%
21%
72%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
COM
3 - 1
FER
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
COM
3 - 3
SAL
20%
26%
55%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
SAL
3 - 0
COM
74%
18%
9%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
NAP
1 - 1
COM
66%
21%
12%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
COM
3 - 1
FER
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
TOR
3 - 0
COM
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |