Fermana vs Chieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
JES
0 - 0
FER
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FER
3 - 3
SSS
25%
22%
53%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
AMI
2 - 1
FER
33%
24%
42%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FER
1 - 0
JES
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CIV
3 - 1
FER
38%
25%
38%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
CHI
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
OLY
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
OLY
3 - 0
CHI
29%
26%
45%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 2
FAN
33%
27%
41%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GIU
1 - 1
CHI
35%
27%
38%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |