Fermana vs Chieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.5%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
29.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
NAP
1 - 1
FER
56%
26%
18%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
FER
0 - 1
TER
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
BEN
1 - 1
FER
48%
28%
24%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
FER
0 - 1
CTT
40%
28%
32%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
AVE
2 - 0
FER
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 1
SOR
45%
28%
27%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
MAR
3 - 0
CHI
41%
28%
31%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
CHI
0 - 1
RIM
25%
28%
46%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
USF
0 - 0
CHI
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
CHI
1 - 0
SPA
39%
31%
30%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |