Fermana vs Castel Sangro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
GIU
1 - 0
FER
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
FER
2 - 2
VIS
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
TAR
2 - 0
FER
67%
21%
13%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
FER
1 - 1
CAT
39%
26%
36%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
SOR
0 - 1
FER
38%
26%
37%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
CAS
1 - 0
SAS
44%
26%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
VIR
1 - 0
CAS
54%
25%
22%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
CAS
0 - 1
CHI
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
CAS
1 - 2
AVE
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
TAR
2 - 1
CAS
58%
25%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |