Fermana vs Campobasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
FER
2 - 0
AVE
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
OLY
0 - 1
FER
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
FER
1 - 4
SAN
47%
23%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 1
FER
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FER
4 - 1
JES
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Campobasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 1
CAM
43%
27%
31%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 0
JES
51%
24%
24%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SSS
2 - 1
CAM
77%
16%
8%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAM
3 - 0
AMI
67%
20%
13%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |