Fermana vs Avezzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
OLY
0 - 1
FER
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
FER
1 - 4
SAN
47%
23%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 1
FER
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FER
4 - 1
JES
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SSS
1 - 1
FER
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Avezzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 3
CAS
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
OLY
0 - 0
AVE
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
AVE
2 - 0
CHI
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 2
SSS
20%
21%
59%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
AVE
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |