Fermana vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
51%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
CTT
3 - 0
FER
65%
22%
13%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
FER
0 - 1
SAL
21%
27%
52%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
PAD
1 - 0
FER
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
FER
0 - 1
PAV
24%
27%
48%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
RAV
3 - 1
FER
63%
23%
14%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
SPE
1 - 0
PIZ
58%
25%
18%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
SPE
2 - 0
GEN
26%
28%
45%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
NOV
2 - 1
SPE
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
SPE
1 - 0
ASS
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
TER
1 - 0
SPE
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |