Fermana vs AlzanoCene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
CES
1 - 0
FER
80%
15%
6%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
FER
1 - 2
VIC
9%
23%
69%
|
44 | 80 | 36 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1999 |
CHI
2 - 1
FER
79%
16%
6%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
FER
3 - 2
FCS
40%
25%
36%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
FER
1 - 1
TRE
19%
25%
56%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
AlzanoCene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
ALZ
0 - 0
COS
32%
26%
41%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
ALZ
3 - 1
GEN
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
FCS
1 - 1
ALZ
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
ALZ
3 - 2
SAL
13%
22%
65%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
CES
1 - 1
ALZ
78%
16%
7%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | +1 |