Fermana vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
57.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
4 - 0
FER
77%
16%
7%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
FER
0 - 2
VIR
30%
27%
43%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
TER
4 - 1
FER
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FER
3 - 3
CES
16%
25%
60%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
RIM
0 - 1
FER
43%
28%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
REG
2 - 1
VIS
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
CES
0 - 0
REG
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
REG
2 - 1
SSS
46%
25%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MOD
0 - 1
REG
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
REG
2 - 2
RIM
71%
18%
10%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |