Ferlach vs St. Michael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SVV
1 - 3
FLC
84%
11%
5%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
FLC
0 - 0
FEL
18%
21%
62%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
KUH
4 - 1
FLC
19%
21%
60%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2014 |
FLC
3 - 0
STE
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
GMD
2 - 2
FLC
60%
20%
19%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
St. Michael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
FEL
1 - 1
MIC
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MIC
3 - 2
GMD
18%
21%
61%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
BWS
1 - 0
MIC
35%
24%
42%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2010 |
VOL
4 - 2
MIC
68%
19%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
MIC
1 - 4
LEN
27%
25%
49%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |