Ferlach vs St. Andra Lav analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
16º
4º
30
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
LEN
2 - 2
FLC
33%
23%
44%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FLC
4 - 1
SVK
55%
22%
24%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
KLA
1 - 1
FLC
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
FLC
2 - 1
BLE
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
MSA
4 - 1
FLC
36%
23%
42%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
St. Andra Lav
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
STA
0 - 4
KAC
24%
21%
56%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
AUK
4 - 2
STA
68%
17%
15%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
STA
4 - 3
SVJ
19%
20%
62%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
FEL
5 - 0
STA
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
STA
5 - 1
GMD
19%
20%
61%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +2 |