Ferlach vs Spittal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
SVD
0 - 3
FLC
6%
11%
82%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
FLC
2 - 2
KMD
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FLC
3 - 0
KLA
47%
22%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
BLE
1 - 1
FLC
12%
18%
70%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
FLC
3 - 0
VOL
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Spittal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
SPI
3 - 0
TRE
31%
22%
47%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
MSA
2 - 0
SPI
64%
19%
18%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
WAC
4 - 1
SPI
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
SPI
2 - 0
GMD
53%
22%
25%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
SPI
4 - 0
FEL
48%
22%
30%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |