Ferlach vs Spittal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
VOL
2 - 1
FLC
69%
19%
12%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
FLC
0 - 1
MIC
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SVV
1 - 3
FLC
84%
11%
5%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
FLC
0 - 0
FEL
18%
21%
62%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
KUH
4 - 1
FLC
19%
21%
60%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Spittal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
MIC
2 - 2
SPI
48%
22%
30%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
SPI
1 - 3
FEL
20%
21%
59%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
GMD
3 - 0
SPI
61%
20%
19%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
SPI
2 - 1
BWS
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
KMD
4 - 2
SPI
56%
21%
23%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |