Ferlach vs Rapid Lienz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
FEL
1 - 0
FLC
15%
18%
67%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
TRE
1 - 2
FLC
29%
22%
48%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
FLC
4 - 3
MSA
85%
10%
5%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
WAC
2 - 1
FLC
67%
18%
16%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FLC
4 - 2
GMD
80%
12%
8%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Rapid Lienz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
RAP
2 - 2
TRE
29%
24%
47%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MSA
4 - 1
RAP
34%
24%
42%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
RAP
2 - 0
WAC
9%
18%
73%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | +3 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
GMD
2 - 2
RAP
58%
21%
21%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
RAP
0 - 2
SPI
42%
24%
34%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |