Ferlach vs Maria Saal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
26.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
FLC
1 - 1
KMD
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
DRA
1 - 5
FLC
51%
23%
27%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
FLC
4 - 3
SPI
39%
23%
39%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ANB
4 - 0
FLC
54%
22%
25%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
FLC
0 - 0
FEL
20%
20%
60%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Maria Saal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
MSA
1 - 1
DRA
56%
21%
24%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
SPI
4 - 2
MSA
50%
23%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
MSA
4 - 0
ANB
48%
22%
30%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
FEL
0 - 0
MSA
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
MSA
1 - 0
TRE
51%
22%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |