Ferlach vs Lendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
46.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
MSA
2 - 1
FLC
52%
21%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FLC
4 - 4
WAC
16%
21%
63%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
RUD
0 - 1
FLC
54%
21%
25%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
BLE
1 - 3
FLC
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
FLC
3 - 2
EAC
69%
18%
13%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
LEN
2 - 1
BLE
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
VOL
1 - 1
LEN
28%
25%
47%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
LEN
4 - 3
TRE
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
WEL
1 - 2
LEN
21%
22%
57%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
LEN
2 - 1
FCH
81%
13%
6%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |