Ferlach vs Gleisdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
49.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2017 |
KLA
1 - 3
FLC
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
VOL
2 - 1
FLC
18%
20%
62%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
FLC
4 - 3
BLE
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
FLC
2 - 1
SVL
89%
8%
4%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
LEN
2 - 1
FLC
27%
22%
51%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Gleisdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
SVW
1 - 3
GDF
24%
22%
54%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
GDF
3 - 2
HAR
32%
24%
45%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
GDF
1 - 1
STF
65%
20%
16%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
SVP
0 - 1
GDF
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
GDF
5 - 2
WOL
84%
11%
5%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |