Ferlach vs Hermagor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
WOL
7 - 0
FLC
70%
18%
12%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FLC
3 - 3
RUD
56%
22%
23%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
MSA
2 - 3
FLC
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FLC
1 - 1
LEN
21%
23%
56%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FLC
1 - 3
SPI
26%
24%
50%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hermagor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FCH
2 - 2
MSA
31%
23%
46%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
SPI
6 - 0
FCH
77%
15%
9%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
FCH
1 - 2
VEI
26%
22%
51%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BLE
2 - 1
FCH
64%
20%
17%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
FCH
4 - 1
WAC
46%
24%
31%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |