Ferlach vs Drautal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
SPI
2 - 3
FLC
55%
22%
24%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FLC
2 - 4
ANB
59%
20%
21%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
FEL
2 - 0
FLC
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
FLC
1 - 2
TRE
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
VOL
3 - 0
FLC
39%
25%
36%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Drautal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
KMD
1 - 0
DRA
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
DRA
3 - 0
SPI
34%
24%
43%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ANB
2 - 0
DRA
47%
23%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
DRA
0 - 0
FEL
20%
22%
57%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
TRE
0 - 0
DRA
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |