Ferlach vs Drautal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
52.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
FLC
3 - 2
TRE
21%
23%
55%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
RAP
2 - 0
FLC
58%
22%
21%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
EAC
4 - 4
FLC
27%
23%
50%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FEL
2 - 1
FLC
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
FLC
1 - 1
FCH
54%
22%
24%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Drautal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
DRA
2 - 0
MSA
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
DRA
3 - 1
SPI
39%
24%
37%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
VEI
4 - 0
DRA
52%
22%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
DRA
2 - 1
BLE
62%
20%
18%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
WAC
0 - 2
DRA
29%
23%
48%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |