Ferlach vs Bleiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
FLC
1 - 3
VOL
52%
22%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
TRE
3 - 3
FLC
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FLC
1 - 0
WEL
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
KMD
0 - 1
FLC
46%
23%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
FLC
2 - 1
RAP
57%
21%
21%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
BLE
2 - 1
RUD
59%
20%
20%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
VOL
2 - 0
BLE
56%
23%
21%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BLE
1 - 2
TRE
40%
25%
36%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
WEL
1 - 4
BLE
39%
23%
38%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BLE
1 - 1
KMD
41%
24%
35%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |