Ferlach vs ATSV Wolfsberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
16º
4º
44
6º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SPI
0 - 1
FLC
34%
24%
43%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FLC
3 - 4
VOL
60%
20%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FLC
1 - 0
SCL
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KAC
0 - 2
FLC
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FLC
1 - 1
AUK
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ATSV Wolfsberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
WOL
0 - 1
KAC
29%
24%
48%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
WOL
0 - 4
AUK
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SVJ
4 - 0
WOL
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
WOL
3 - 3
FEL
49%
22%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GMD
4 - 0
WOL
32%
23%
44%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -2 |