Ferlach vs ATSV Wolfsberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
16º
4º
44
6º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SPI
0 - 1
FLC
34%
24%
43%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FLC
3 - 4
VOL
60%
20%
19%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FLC
1 - 0
SCL
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KAC
0 - 2
FLC
41%
24%
35%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FLC
1 - 1
AUK
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
ATSV Wolfsberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
WOL
0 - 1
KAC
29%
24%
48%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
WOL
0 - 4
AUK
37%
22%
41%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SVJ
4 - 0
WOL
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
WOL
3 - 3
FEL
49%
22%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GMD
4 - 0
WOL
32%
23%
44%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |