Ferizaj vs Malisheva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
45.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
7º
10º
8º
46
5º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferizaj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PRI
2 - 1
FER
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
GJI
25%
27%
48%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
KFD
4 - 1
FER
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FER
0 - 3
KFB
24%
27%
49%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
TRE
1 - 1
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Malisheva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UEM
0 - 1
GJI
46%
28%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
KFB
2 - 1
UEM
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LLA
1 - 1
UEM
49%
25%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
UEM
2 - 3
KFB
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
UEM
2 - 4
FCD
43%
28%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |