Ferizaj vs Malisheva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
45.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
7º
10º
8º
46
5º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferizaj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PRI
2 - 1
FER
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
GJI
25%
27%
48%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
KFD
4 - 1
FER
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FER
0 - 3
KFB
24%
27%
49%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
TRE
1 - 1
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Malisheva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UEM
0 - 1
GJI
46%
28%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
KFB
2 - 1
UEM
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LLA
1 - 1
UEM
49%
25%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
UEM
2 - 3
KFB
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
UEM
2 - 4
FCD
43%
28%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |