Ferizaj vs Dukagjini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
48%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
7º
10º
8º
51
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferizaj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
BEH
3 - 0
FER
3%
9%
88%
|
58 | 8 | 50 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
KFB
2 - 0
FER
68%
20%
13%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
FER
2 - 3
TRE
25%
24%
51%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LLA
1 - 2
FER
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
DSK
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Dukagjini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
KFD
2 - 0
RIL
85%
10%
4%
|
71 | 8 | 63 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
KFD
1 - 0
TRE
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
DSK
0 - 1
KFD
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
KFD
4 - 0
UEM
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GJI
1 - 0
KFD
47%
28%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |