Ferizaj vs Dukagjini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
48%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
7º
10º
8º
51
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferizaj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
BEH
3 - 0
FER
3%
9%
88%
|
56 | 7 | 49 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
KFB
2 - 0
FER
68%
20%
13%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
FER
2 - 3
TRE
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LLA
1 - 2
FER
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
DSK
22%
25%
53%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Dukagjini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
KFD
2 - 0
RIL
85%
10%
4%
|
70 | 7 | 63 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
KFD
1 - 0
TRE
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
DSK
0 - 1
KFD
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
KFD
4 - 0
UEM
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GJI
1 - 0
KFD
47%
28%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |