Ferizaj vs KF Llapi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
44.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
3º
9º
9º
10
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
9 | 16 |
1º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 16 |
2º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 14 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
10 | 14 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 14 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 13 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 9 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 9 |
8º
|
29% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 5 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 1 |
10º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 46% |
|
Mid-table
|
6.5% | 48.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
20% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
73.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferizaj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FER
0 - 1
SUH
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 17 | 43 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
FCD
3 - 1
FER
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FER
1 - 3
PRI
35%
30%
35%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
UEM
1 - 1
FER
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FER
2 - 1
FER
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
KF Llapi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LLA
1 - 0
FCD
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PRI
3 - 2
LLA
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 1
UEM
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FER
0 - 2
LLA
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LLA
1 - 1
GJI
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |