Ferizaj vs Feronikeli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
3º
9º
9º
0
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
9 | 16 |
1º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 16 |
2º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 14 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 14 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 14 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 13 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 9 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 9 |
8º
|
29% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 5 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
0 | 1 |
10º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
20% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
73.5% | 99% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferizaj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SHK
1 - 1
FER
46%
24%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
GJI
3 - 2
FER
58%
24%
19%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 1
FER
35%
24%
41%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FER
0 - 5
PRI
30%
26%
45%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
LLA
0 - 0
FER
61%
20%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Feronikeli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FER
1 - 0
KFP
82%
13%
6%
|
64 | 8 | 56 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FER
3 - 2
KFD
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FCD
0 - 0
FER
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
FER
4 - 1
LIR
54%
26%
21%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
LLA
3 - 2
FER
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |