Ferizaj vs FC Suhareka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+142%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
3º
9º
9º
13
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
9 | 16 |
1º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 16 |
2º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 14 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 14 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
|
1º
|
13 | 14 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 13 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 9 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 9 |
8º
|
29% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 5 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 1 |
10º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 11% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 36% |
|
Mid-table
|
6.5% | 53% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
20% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
73.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferizaj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
FCD
3 - 1
FER
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FER
1 - 3
PRI
35%
30%
35%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
UEM
1 - 1
FER
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FER
2 - 1
FER
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SHK
1 - 1
FER
46%
24%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Suhareka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SUH
3 - 2
GJI
21%
27%
52%
|
16 | 72 | 56 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SUH
3 - 1
KFD
16%
23%
60%
|
15 | 71 | 56 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PRI
0 - 0
SUH
73%
18%
9%
|
14 | 72 | 58 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
VOK
0 - 1
SUH
80%
14%
6%
|
13 | 55 | 42 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
KFB
2 - 2
SUH
83%
12%
5%
|
13 | 72 | 59 | 0 |