Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Ferencvárosi vs Željeznicar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1971 |
FTC
5 - 2
EBT
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1971 |
EBT
1 - 1
FTC
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
FTC
6 - 0
PAN
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
FTC
3 - 1
FEN
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
FEN
1 - 1
FTC
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1971 |
ZEL
5 - 1
STJ
42%
23%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1971 |
STJ
1 - 0
ZEL
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1971 |
BOL
2 - 2
ZEL
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
ZEL
1 - 1
BOL
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
BRU
3 - 1
ZEL
80%
13%
8%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |