Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 2-1
Ferencvárosi vs Zbrojovka Brno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
18.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1963 |
FTC
2 - 0
GAL
44%
23%
33%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1963 |
GAL
4 - 0
FTC
66%
18%
15%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1963 |
DZG
2 - 1
FTC
64%
19%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1963 |
FTC
0 - 1
DZG
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1963 |
PET
1 - 0
FTC
60%
19%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Zbrojovka Brno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1964 |
LIE
1 - 0
ZBR
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1964 |
ZBR
2 - 0
LIE
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1964 |
LIE
2 - 0
ZBR
54%
23%
24%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1963 |
ZBR
4 - 0
PAR
55%
21%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 1963 |
PAR
3 - 2
ZBR
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |