Ferencvárosi vs Újpest FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
1º
9º
1º
10
4º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
15 | 60 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 56 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
1º
|
15 | 55 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 50 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 48 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 47 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
3º
|
10 | 46 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 45 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 45 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 41 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 31 |
11º
|
41% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 24 |
12º
|
71.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
34.5% | 3% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
38% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
27.5% | 77.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
FTC
1 - 1
MID
32%
24%
44%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DIO
0 - 2
FTC
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
MID
2 - 0
FTC
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FTC
1 - 0
KTE
51%
24%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
TNS
1 - 2
FTC
39%
22%
40%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
UJP
4 - 1
FHV
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PAK
2 - 1
UJP
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
UJP
1 - 2
PUS
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
AHL
1 - 0
UJP
22%
21%
57%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
UJP
1 - 0
SKN
55%
21%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |