Q. Europa League Ronda previa Final
Global 4-2
Ferencvárosi vs Tiraspol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1999 |
FTC
1 - 2
VAS
52%
23%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1999 |
FTC
0 - 1
BUD
77%
15%
9%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1999 |
VAS
2 - 1
FTC
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
FTC
1 - 3
DUN
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
NYI
0 - 1
FTC
25%
24%
51%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Tiraspol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1999 |
NIS
1 - 0
TIR
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
TIR
0 - 0
ACH
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1999 |
1 - 0
TIR
38%
28%
35%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
TIT
1 - 2
TIR
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
TIR
1 - 1
ZIM
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |