Q. Europa League Ronda Preliminar Final
Global 3-2
Ferencvárosi vs Sliema Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2014 |
SLI
1 - 1
FTC
27%
23%
50%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
FTC
2 - 0
PAK
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
SZO
0 - 1
FTC
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
FTC
2 - 1
DIO
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
MEZ
0 - 1
FTC
15%
22%
63%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sliema Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2014 |
SLI
1 - 1
FTC
27%
23%
50%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 0
SLI
50%
24%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
HIB
1 - 3
SLI
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
SLI
0 - 0
MOS
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BIR
6 - 0
SLI
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |