Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 4-2
Ferencvárosi vs Sūduva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
PUS
4 - 1
FTC
18%
24%
58%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
SUD
0 - 0
FTC
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
FTC
1 - 0
KAP
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
FTC
0 - 4
DZG
44%
26%
31%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
DZG
1 - 1
FTC
57%
23%
21%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sūduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
ZAL
1 - 3
SUD
34%
24%
42%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
SUD
0 - 0
FTC
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
SUD
5 - 0
FKP
76%
16%
7%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
SUD
2 - 1
MTA
42%
27%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
PAN
2 - 7
SUD
9%
19%
72%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | +1 |