Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 7-1
Ferencvárosi vs Örgryte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
19.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1966 |
ORG
0 - 0
FTC
46%
23%
31%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1966 |
FTC
3 - 0
NKO
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1966 |
NKO
3 - 3
FTC
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
FTC
1 - 1
INT
32%
24%
44%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1966 |
INT
4 - 0
FTC
75%
15%
10%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Örgryte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
MFF
2 - 2
ORG
56%
21%
23%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
ORG
3 - 3
ORE
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1966 |
ORG
0 - 0
FTC
46%
23%
31%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
ORG
1 - 3
AIK
55%
22%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
DEG
1 - 6
ORG
25%
25%
50%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |