Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Semi-finals
Global 5-4
Ferencvárosi vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
41.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
FTC
1 - 0
MUD
34%
23%
43%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1965 |
MUD
3 - 2
FTC
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1965 |
FTC
3 - 0
ATH
52%
23%
24%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1965 |
ATH
2 - 1
FTC
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1965 |
FTC
1 - 0
ATH
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
FTC
1 - 0
MUD
34%
23%
43%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1965 |
MUD
3 - 2
FTC
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1965 |
MUD
0 - 0
STR
82%
12%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1965 |
STR
0 - 5
MUD
33%
23%
44%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1965 |
ASV
2 - 1
MUD
25%
24%
51%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |