Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-2
Ferencvárosi vs Kalmar FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
FTC
2 - 0
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
MAR
3 - 0
FTC
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
SGD
4 - 0
FTC
82%
11%
7%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
FTC
1 - 0
SGD
34%
23%
43%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
JEU
2 - 6
FTC
7%
20%
73%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Kalmar FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
KAL
0 - 0
MFF
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1978 |
ELF
1 - 1
KAL
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
NOR
1 - 2
KAL
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1978 |
KAL
1 - 0
AIK
58%
23%
18%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1978 |
ORE
0 - 2
KAL
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |