Europa League 1/32
Global 1-3
Ferencvárosi vs Gwardia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
SPA
4 - 1
FTC
55%
22%
22%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
FTC
2 - 0
SPA
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
FTC
6 - 0
FLO
91%
6%
3%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
FLO
1 - 0
FTC
9%
18%
73%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1972 |
WOL
2 - 1
FTC
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gwardia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1973 |
STA
2 - 1
GWA
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1973 |
GWA
0 - 0
LPO
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
SLA
0 - 2
GWA
50%
28%
22%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1973 |
GWA
2 - 2
SZO
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1973 |
GWA
0 - 2
WIS
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |