Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-3
Ferencvárosi vs CSKA Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1994 |
FTC
5 - 0
SAM
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1994 |
NAG
0 - 2
FTC
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
FTC
3 - 2
BUD
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1994 |
CSK
2 - 1
FTC
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
GYO
1 - 1
FTC
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1994 |
ROT
2 - 1
CSK
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
CSK
0 - 0
TOR
51%
28%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1994 |
CSK
2 - 1
FTC
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1994 |
CSK
2 - 3
DIN
39%
29%
32%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1994 |
LAD
1 - 0
CSK
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |