Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Semi-finals
Global 5-4
Ferencvárosi vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1968 |
ATH
1 - 2
FTC
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1968 |
FTC
2 - 1
ATH
55%
23%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1968 |
LIV
0 - 1
FTC
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1967 |
FTC
1 - 0
LIV
47%
25%
29%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1967 |
FTC
3 - 0
ZAR
46%
23%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1968 |
BOL
1 - 0
MAN
73%
18%
9%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
ATL
1 - 0
BOL
29%
28%
43%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
BOL
1 - 1
ACM
51%
25%
24%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
BOL
1 - 0
ROM
73%
18%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1968 |
VOJ
0 - 2
BOL
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |