Feralpisalò vs Giana Erminio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
FAN
0 - 1
FER
20%
27%
53%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
SSS
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
VIR
2 - 1
FER
19%
25%
56%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
FCS
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ASG
0 - 3
FER
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Giana Erminio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
GER
1 - 2
TER
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
GER
4 - 0
ASG
47%
25%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FCS
1 - 2
GER
58%
24%
18%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
GER
1 - 1
TRI
22%
25%
53%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ABN
2 - 0
GER
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |