Feralpisalò vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 2
FER
32%
27%
41%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
FER
0 - 1
ASG
58%
23%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
FER
2 - 2
ACL
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
FCS
1 - 2
FER
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FER
1 - 0
MOD
25%
27%
49%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
SSS
22%
22%
56%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
FCS
1 - 1
FOR
63%
22%
15%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 2
ABN
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
PAD
2 - 0
FOR
75%
17%
8%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 2
POR
17%
24%
60%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |