Feralpisalò vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
FAN
1 - 1
FER
15%
22%
63%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
FER
1 - 3
MAN
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
ASG
1 - 1
FER
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
FER
3 - 1
PAD
29%
27%
44%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
FER
2 - 1
TRI
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
FER
2 - 1
RAV
46%
27%
27%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
FER
0 - 0
ARZ
34%
28%
38%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
MOD
1 - 0
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
MAT
34%
28%
37%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
TRI
3 - 1
FER
60%
24%
16%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |