Feralpisalò vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
NAP
5 - 2
FER
89%
9%
2%
|
51 | 88 | 37 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
BV5
3 - 1
FER
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
FER
2 - 0
ACL
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
GER
0 - 1
FER
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FER
0 - 0
USA
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
FAN
0 - 2
MON
54%
25%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
FAN
3 - 0
DEL
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
FAN
1 - 1
SCA
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
FAN
5 - 1
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FAN
2 - 2
MAT
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -2 |