Feralpisalò vs Crociati Noceto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
PRO
0 - 1
FER
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
FER
3 - 1
VAL
74%
17%
10%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
POL
1 - 0
FER
25%
25%
50%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FER
2 - 0
PAV
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
FCS
0 - 0
FER
24%
26%
50%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Crociati Noceto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CRO
3 - 3
LEO
44%
25%
31%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 1
PAV
44%
25%
31%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
FCS
3 - 0
CRO
48%
26%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CRO
3 - 2
VIL
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
POL
0 - 0
CRO
46%
25%
29%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |