Feralpisalò vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
48.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 5
FER
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FER
1 - 2
BV5
42%
27%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
USA
1 - 2
FER
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 0
FER
69%
20%
11%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
FER
5 - 1
FAN
62%
23%
16%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PAD
1 - 0
ACL
74%
18%
8%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PAD
2 - 0
PIA
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
REG
1 - 1
PAD
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
PAD
2 - 1
AVE
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
SIE
2 - 0
PAD
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |